
Solidarity with Ukraine refugees, but there may be limits
EU states are - for the moment - showing solidarity with Ukraine and its refugees. But how long that will last depends on the duration of the conflict and the numbers in need.
Saturday
26th Feb 2022

EU states are - for the moment - showing solidarity with Ukraine and its refugees. But how long that will last depends on the duration of the conflict and the numbers in need.

Donald Tusk, the Polish president of the EU Council until 2019 and current chair of the European People's Party broke with normal diplomatic niceties to lambast Germany, Hungary and Italy as having "disgraced themselves."

While much of the infatuation with Russia among some Italians may be hard to explain, it's still a factor that its leaders, like prime minister Mario Draghi, must contend with.
Europe should be throwing everything it has at Vladimir Putin, says former Ukrainian ambassador to the EU, Kostiantyn Yelisieiev, now in Kyiv.
Russian banks and oil refineries to be hobbled by new EU sanctions, as civilian deaths mount in Ukraine. US wanted to exclude Russia from SWIFT, but Germany and France favoured incremental approach.
This is how sanctions work: to be credible, those who put these measures in place must be willing to accept negative effects on both sides. To make a difference, EU countries will have to be ready to bear the costs.

A new proposal to hold EU businesses to account for human rights abuses and environmental gaps may have serious loopholes itself.

Weapons shipments may not be much of a quick fix for Ukraine in the face of an integrated and well equipped invasion force like Russia's.

Filippo Grandi, the UN high commissioner for refugees, warned that "humanitarian consequences on civilian populations will be devastating."

In the worst-case scenario gas suppliers wouldn't be able to rebuild their inventories over the summer, industries would have to shut down, and energy rationing may be inevitable.
Nato sending troops east to prevent Ukraine war spillover, but military "deconfliction channels" between West and Moscow remain open, secretary general Jens Stoltenberg said.
Tragedies continue: a 26-year old man from Yemen has been found dead, apparently of hypothermia, in a swampy area near the Polish town of Tolipo.
The EU will block technology transfers to Russia, lock out its banks from Europe's markets, and seize Russian assets in reaction to its invasion of Ukraine - if leaders agree.
EU leaders immediately condemned the invasion, with European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen calling on Russia to withdraw its forces and vowing further sanctions.
"Ban the liars", Polish MEP Radek Sikorski said, as the EU slapped sanctions on some of Russia's most prominent TV broadcasters in response to their warmongering against Ukraine.
Viktor Orbán has often proved to be more bark than bite when it comes to his sympathies with Russia, and Vladimir Putin himself.
Amazon, Microsoft, Google, IBM and others would need to put in place technical and legal safeguards. The EU commission estimated the new rules could generate €270bn of additional GDP by 2028.
If war breaks out, the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) needs to ensure good practices and policies in civilian harm mitigation developed over the past few years are directly integrated into any military response.
"Who in the Lord's name does Putin think gives him the right to declare what he called new countries on the territories of his neighbour?", US president Joe Biden said.

The European Commission says it is working with EU states as part of a Blueprint Network to prepare contingency plans for a refugee influx.

German chancellor Olaf Scholz said Tuesday that the Baltic Sea pipeline to deliver Russian gas couldn't be certified under "present circumstances."
Some of the individuals to be blacklisted are Russian officials, but not Russian president Vladimir Putin himself or his foreign minister Sergei Lavrov.
A silly idea, when Russia has just amputated parts of Ukraine's territory? On the contrary — it would be a historic chance for the EU become again an agenda-setter rather than following a playbook set by others.

Russian president Putin pledged to recognise two Russian-occupied parts of Ukraine as sovereign states — a move that could trigger a first round of EU sanctions.

Republika Srpska's Mirolad Dodik is a close ally of Russia and a flare-up in the Western Balkans risks playing into Moscow's hands.
Some EU member states are calling for extra time to implement new due-diligence obligations under the new deforestation law.
The EU's anti-fraud office findings will go before the Frontex management board this week.

Even if the petition were to win sufficient backing, any commission moves toward fulfilling its demands would meet with fierce opposition from pro-Israeli EU countries.

This is the first time the EU has raised money collectively – some called it Europe's New Marshall Plan – and if the process is seen to fail, it could shatter the frail trust in the European project.
The very porousness of the border poses questions about EU states' contingency plans, which for the most part have remained confidential.
Unsurprisingly, given the sensitivities surrounding energy issues in Africa and Europe, leaders did not appear to be in a hurry to announce big, new financing deals for fossil fuels at the summit.

The EU has been busy drawing up a list of sanctions against Moscow in retaliation for any aggression. But the threshold for their imposition still needs to be determined.

In Munich, Volodymyr Zelensky voiced his concerns that the chances of Nato membership for his country may already have been diminished, because of the pressure from Russia.