Saturday

13th Aug 2022

Agenda

Putin steals the show This WEEK

  • Putin recently created a potential staging post for an anti-IS offensive at Syria's Latakia airport (Photo: kremlin.ru)

Prospects of an EU-US-Russia alliance against Islamic State (IS) and a peace deal on Ukraine take centre stage this week.

Neither dossier involves the EU institutions or Brussels. But decisions made at the UN General Assembly in New York and at the Ukraine peace talks in Paris could reshape European affairs.

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Russian leader Vladimir Putin is expected to propose the anti-IS coalition in his UN speech on Monday (28 September).

He is also expected to criticise EU and US sanctions on Russia, imposed after he invaded Ukraine.

Putin's UN speech, his first in 10 years, might be preceded by a Russian military offensive in Syria.

He will also meet US leader Barack Obama for the first time since the Ukraine conflict.

Stopping the Syria war is key to stopping the EU refugee crisis. But the price of Putin’s help might be to keep his Syrian ally, president Bashar al-Assad in power, and for the West to drop Ukraine sanctions.

EU Council chair Donald Tusk will defend Europe’s actions on migration and Ukraine in a speech on Tuesday.

The UN assembly will also see top EU officials and EU state leaders attend a high-level conference on migration on Wednesday - a prelude to EU talks with African leaders in Malta in November.

For her part, top EU diplomat Federica Mogherini will, the same day, try to launch a new format for Arab-Israeli peace talks in a meeting with Russia, the US, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and Jordan.

European Commission vice-president Frans Timmermans will, on Saturday, address a UN meeting on eradicating poverty.

The same day, France will take centre stage at climate change talks ahead of the Paris summit in December.

Moving from New York to Paris on Friday, the French, German, Russian, and Ukrainian leaders will discuss how to end the conflict in east Ukraine.

The talks come after a lull in fighting, but ahead of “elections” by Russian puppet governments in east Ukraine in October.

Back in Brussels, MEPs will, from Monday to Wednesday, hold talks on EU spending plans for 2016.

The EU Parliament's civil liberties committee will, on Thursday, debate US intelligence snooping on EU nationals, in a resolution which could cast further doubt on EU-US data sharing protocols.

With the refugee crisis prompting political gains by far-right groups, Timmermans will, in Brussels on Thursday, give a speech against Islamophobia.

Meanwhile, Europe will start the week by digesting the outcome of local elections in Catalonia.

If separatist parties win by a landslide, as expected, Catalan leaders might unilaterally declare independence, creating a crisis in Spain and posing questions on future Catalan-EU relations.

Rule of law and Czech presidency priorities This WEEK

The European Commission will unveil its rule-of-law audit of all EU member states this week. Meanwhile, several ministers from the Czech Republic will present to EU lawmakers the priorities of the rotating EU Council presidency for the next six months.

Czech presidency and key nuclear/gas vote This WEEK

MEPs will gather in Strasbourg for the final plenary before the summer break, with a crucial vote on the classification of gas and nuclear. The Czech Republic will present to EU lawmakers its presidency's priorities for the next six months.

G7, Nato, gas anxiety and Ukraine top This WEEK

EU energy ministers and environment ministers are expected to reach common positions on different aspects of the Fit for 55 package — as the continent is increasingly worried about energy prices and future supplies.

EU leaders talk Ukraine candidacy This WEEK

EU leaders will gather in Brussels and discuss Ukraine's candidacy status, and the impact of Russia's invasion of the country on energy and defence. European Central Bank chief Christine Lagarde will give a briefing to MEPs on inflation to MEPs.

Estonia and Latvia sever China club ties

Beijing's club was meant to forge stronger European relations. Lithuania left it last year. Now Estonia and Latvia have also decided to walk over Chinese bullying.

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