Thursday

21st Jun 2018

Agenda

Turkey and Ukraine This WEEK

  • MEPs are in Strasbourg this week (Photo: European Parliament)

Souring relations with Turkey come to a head as MEPs vote on a motion proposing to end accession talks at the plenary session in Strasbourg this week.

The vote on Thursday (24 November) to stop Turkey's EU membership bid is not binding but sends a powerful political signal that the widening gap between Brussels and Ankara is unlikely to be bridged any time soon.

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With EU lawmakers having cancelled a trip to Turkey last week and president Recep Tayyip Erdogan now pushing for closer ties with China and Russia, the drift could affect a key EU migrant swap deal signed off in March with Ankara.

EU foreign policy chief Federica Mogherini will debate the issue with MEPs on Tuesday as Erdogan tightens his grip on power in the wake of the failed July military coup.

Mogherini will then return to Brussels to discuss Ukraine at a one-day summit on Thursday dedicated to the future of the troubled nation.

War in Ukraine and EU defence

Ukraine's president Petro Poroshenko will attend as well in the hopes of getting visa waivers for Ukraine nationals who want to visit EU states.

Member states recently backed lifting the restrictions but only once a broader decision on allowing the EU to more easily suspend visa waivers is made.

Hosted by European Council chief Donald Tusk, the summit will also discuss government corruption and attempts to reinvigorate Ukraine's faltering 2015 Minsk peace agreement with Russia.

The violence and fighting appears to be intensifying in the rebel held regions of Donbas.

Last week, the UN's special monitoring mission in eastern Ukraine registered the highest number of ceasefire violations this year in Donbas.

"The number of ceasefire violations, seen by the OSCE mission, has risen by 160 percent comparing to the previous situation. This is the biggest number of shellings since the beginning of the year," said the mission's deputy head, Alexander Hug.

Most of the violations are from mortar, tank, anti-aircraft and artillery fire in areas that are densely populated, he said.

The deteriorating security surrounding Europe has also prompted EU lawmakers to pile on pressure for EU states to spend more on defence in an effort to create a so-called "common defence policy".

MEPs on Tuesday will vote to demand national governments dedicate at least 2 percent of their GDP to defence under Nato alliance terms. The move was also triggered, in part, by US-president elect Donald Trump's promise to not help an alliance member under attack if dues have not been paid.

French elections and Oettinger

French ex-prime minister Francois Fillon won the first round of a primary election to choose the centre-right Republicans' presidential nominee and will now face Alain Juppe in a run-off next Sunday (27 November).

The Sunday primary ousted Nicolas Sarkozy in next May's presidential election.

Their closest challenger in the presidential election is likely to be far-right party leader Marine Le Pen.

Many Brussels-watchers have been angered by a series of scandals emanating from the EU commission.

The most recent centres on German EU commissioner for digital affairs Guenther Oettinger.

Last week, EUobserver reported he took a ride on a private jet with a Kremlin-linked German businessman. The trip had followed earlier controversial statements on gay marriage and Chinese officials.

Oettinger will get a chance to further discuss the charges on Monday when he hosts a "citizen's dialogue" event in Cologne.

Obama visits EU This Week

The US election, wide-ranging security concerns, and the EU budget dominate the agenda this week.

Italy and visa-free travel on EU agenda This WEEK

Finance ministers will give their first reaction to the Italian referendum, while MEPs and member states try to clinch a deal on visa-free travel for Georgians and Ukrainians.

Greece and Merkel's fate top This WEEK

Eurozone ministers are expected to give the green light to the final disbursement of aid to Greece and agree on measures to help with its debt burden. Meanwhile, the government in Berlin is shaken by Bavarian rebels over migration.

Dutch debate on EU agenda This WEEK

Dutch prime minister Mark Rutte will debate the future of the EU with MEPs and with European Commission president Jean-Claude Juncker in Strasburg on Wednesday.

New governments in Spain and Italy This Week

MIgration will be back in the EU limelight as interior ministers discuss the latest proposals on asylum. Italy's new minister is a fan of Orban and has vowed mass deportations.

Budget and Bettel on the EU's agenda This Week

MEPs will have their first chance to discuss the EU Commission's plans for the next long-term EU budget in Strasbourg. At the same time, a court case in Luxembourg may shake up the 'rule of law' debate.

Analysis

Greece facing post-bailout challenges

Creditors are expected to agree Thursday on a final loan and debt relief measures for Greece. After eight years on an international lifeline, the country will remain under close surveillance - but will have to find a new economic model.

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