The Ukraine ceasefire might collapse any day. But if it sticks and the war ends here, it poses the question: who won?
In military terms, the answer looks clear: Russian leader Vladimir Putin.
In March, the Russian army seized Crimea. Last week, it routed Ukrainian forces in east Ukraine.
Ukrainian president Petro Poroshenko asked EU and Nato leaders for weapons. They said “there is no military solution to the conflict”.
But Putin showed there is - several thousand Ru...
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Andrew Rettman is EUobserver's foreign editor, writing about foreign and security issues since 2005. He is Polish, but grew up in the UK, and lives in Brussels. He has also written for The Guardian, The Times of London, and Intelligence Online.