Friday

16th Nov 2018

Brexit standoff continues before EU summit

  • Theresa May insists keeping Northern Ireland in the EU's customs union should be temporary (Photo: Number 10 - Flickr)

EU affairs ministers will be briefed by EU chief negotiator Michel Barnier on Tuesday (16 October) as Brexit negotiations have come to a lull before an expected crunch summit of EU leaders on Wednesday (17 October).

Negotiators were locked in intensive talks last week as expectations rose of a possible deal by the October meeting of EU leaders, but broke down over the weekend after a brief emergency trip to Brussels by UK Brexit minister Dominic Raab to Brussels on Sunday evening.

Read and decide

Join EUobserver today

Support quality EU news

Get instant access to all articles — and 18 year's of archives. 30 days free trial.

... or join as a group

British prime minister Theresa May on Monday evening told MPs in London that the EU should not allow disagreements over the Irish border issue hinder the withdrawal agreement.

The key issue of how to prevent the return of a hard border between Northern Ireland and EU-member Ireland has become the biggest hurdle to the Brexit withdrawal deal, and the lack of progress on the issue since March has increased the risk of a no-deal scenario before Brexit day next March.

The EU has proposed a so-called backstop solution that would keep Northern Ireland in the EU's customs union and single market for goods, a solution May has rejected, whose minority government is supported by the Northern Irish Democratic Unionist Party (DUP).

One way to overcome most of the checks between Northern Ireland and the rest of the UK – proposed by the UK – is to keep the entire UK in the customs union after the transition period ends in 2020. Some regulatory checks would still be necessary, for example on animal health.

In her most detailed speech yet on the Irish border issue, May said the EU had stuck to its proposal of keeping Northern Ireland in the EU customs union if a UK-wide plan is not ready to be put in place after a transitional arrangement runs out at the end of 2020.

EU diplomats have said the UK-wide plan raises several difficult issues, such as how would the EU lead trade negotiations, and what would be the status of the UK, which would have a customs arrangement with the EU, but would be out of the bloc.

The EU also rules out agreeing to any permanent arrangement as it would need to be sorted out in the next round of negotiations on the future relationship with the UK only to be started once the UK is out of the EU next March.

May insisted that original, Northern Irish-only backstop solution needs to be time-limited, something the EU has not agreed to.

As one EU diplomat put it: "it has to be made sure that there is never a hard border on the island of Ireland, and I don't see us agreeing to something that lapses after three years."

Ireland's deputy prime minister and foreign minister Simon Coveney also insisted on Monday that a backstop can't be time-limited - and pointed out that the UK has already agreed to that last December and again in March with the EU.

"Nobody was suggesting in March that a backstop would be time-limited in terms of picking a date in the future as an endpoint for the backstop. The backstop will, unfortunately, be there until and unless something else is agreed," he said.

"I still think it is possible to do that [a deal], but clearly it is going to take a bit more time than people had hoped," he said, adding that Dublin is frustrated and disappointed that negotiators have stopped discussing until the summit later this week.

'We are in limbo'

The EU side has been uncharacteristically muted in its assessment of how the negotiations have unraveled during the weekend.

"Several key issues remain unresolved," an EU commission spokesman said Monday.

A meeting of advisors to EU leaders was cancelled on Monday as there was no deal in sight. Barnier will not hold a press conference after his meeting with ministers on Tuesday.

"We are in a limbo," one EU diplomat told EUobserver.

May is expected to brief EU leaders on Wednesday evening, and Barnier will also update them separately on the negotiations. EU leaders on Wednesday could also discuss the possibility of calling for another EU summit dedicated to Brexit in November, if a deal is near.

Some EU diplomats also think May needs more time to get the UK government and MPs to agree to the deal taking shape in Brussels. The thinking in Brussels is that she also needs to show politically that she did not agree to the EU's demand, but fought back.

The DUP has threatened to vote down the budget plan if the party's red lines – no separation of any kind between Northern Ireland and the rest of the UK – are breached. The budget vote takes place on 29 October.

Another EU diplomat said that the bloc expects the UK to engage positively and find a solution that benefits all.

Top officials at the European Commission also discussed on Monday the EU's contingency plans in case of a no-deal scenario. This is also expected to be discussed by EU affairs ministers on Tuesday in Luxembourg.

Some member states are keen for the EU commission to publish its plans but for different reasons. France, for instance, wants to make sure that the UK understands and feels the pain of Brexit, while others more exposed to the Brexit fallout, such as Denmark or Belgium want to update their own parliaments on preparations.

French president Emmanuel Macron hit a conciliatory tone on Monday, saying at a press conference that progress is possible in the next days.

Macron said he will have a phone call with May on Monday and with EU negotiator Michel Barnier on Tuesday.

In his invitation letter to EU leaders, EU council president Donald Tusk warned that the bloc must prepare for a no-deal scenario, "which is more likely than ever before". But added that it does not mean the EU should work for a deal in parallel.

"As someone rightly said: 'It always seems impossible until it's done.' Let us not give up," Tusk wrote in his letter.

Brexit deal 'within reach' says Barnier

Michel Barnier said the UK and the EU can close the withdrawal deal next week - if British prime minister Theresa May agrees to keep Northern Ireland in the customs union.

New UK proposal on Irish border in final Brexit push

The UK could stay in the EU's customs union indefinitely to avoid crashing out of the EU as hopes for a new UK proposal on the Irish border issue grow in Brussels in the final phase of Brexit talks.

May rules out new Brexit vote as final talks speed up

The next week will be decisive in Brexit talks in Brussels as the deadline for a deal rapidly approaches. At her party conference in Birmingham, the British PM promised not to hold a second Brexit referendum.

May faces EU leaders head-to-head as Brexit deal falters

The EU is open to extending a proposed Brexit transition period for another year, as Theresa May arrives in Brussels to brief EU leaders on how she sees the way forward in highly-precarious Brexit negotiations.

No progress at Brexit summit, talks continue

British prime minister Theresa May addressed the EU-27 leaders after the apparent breakdown of Brexit talks and told them the UK is open to considering a longer transition period. But even a November 'emergency' summit is not yet certain.

News in Brief

  1. US warns EU banks and firms against trading with Iran
  2. Merkel urged Romania not to move embassy to Jerusalem
  3. Protesters call for Czech leader to step down
  4. Former German chancellor labelled 'enemy' of Ukraine
  5. French lead opposition to Brexit deal on fisheries
  6. Private accounts of Danske Bank employees investigated
  7. UK's May defends Brexit deal to MPs, after ministers resign
  8. Brexit MP calls for 'no confidence' vote on May

Stakeholders' Highlights

  1. NORDIC COUNCIL OF MINISTERSTheresa May: “We will not be turning our backs on the Nordic region”
  2. International Partnership for Human RightsOpen letter to Emmanuel Macron ahead of Uzbek president's visit
  3. International Partnership for Human RightsRaising key human rights concerns during visit of Turkmenistan's foreign minister
  4. NORDIC COUNCIL OF MINISTERSState of the Nordic Region presented in Brussels
  5. NORDIC COUNCIL OF MINISTERSThe vital bioeconomy. New issue of “Sustainable Growth the Nordic Way” out now
  6. NORDIC COUNCIL OF MINISTERSThe Nordic gender effect goes international
  7. NORDIC COUNCIL OF MINISTERSPaula Lehtomaki from Finland elected as the Council's first female Secretary General
  8. NORDIC COUNCIL OF MINISTERSNordic design sets the stage at COP24, running a competition for sustainable chairs.
  9. Counter BalanceIn Kenya, a motorway funded by the European Investment Bank runs over roadside dwellers
  10. ACCACompany Law Package: Making the Best of Digital and Cross Border Mobility,
  11. International Partnership for Human RightsCivil Society Worried About Shortcomings in EU-Kyrgyzstan Human Rights Dialogue
  12. UNESDAThe European Soft Drinks Industry Supports over 1.7 Million Jobs

Latest News

  1. Brexit dominates EU affairs This WEEK
  2. How the EU commission got tunnel vision on self-driving cars
  3. No-confidence calls against May put Brexit deal in doubt
  4. Key points of the Brexit deal (if it ever comes into effect)
  5. Romania heaps scorn on 'revolting' EU criticism
  6. US steps in to clean up Cyprus
  7. 'Decisive progress' on Brexit as British cabinet backs deal
  8. Asylum for Macedonia's ex-PM puts Orban on spot

Stakeholders' Highlights

  1. Mission of China to the EUJointly Building Belt and Road Initiative Leads to a Better Future for All
  2. International Partnership for Human RightsCivil society asks PACE to appoint Rapporteur to probe issue of political prisoners in Azerbaijan
  3. ACCASocial Mobility – How Can We Increase Opportunities Through Training and Education?
  4. Nordic Council of MinistersEnergy Solutions for a Greener Tomorrow
  5. UNICEFWhat Kind of Europe Do Children Want? Unicef & Eurochild Launch Survey on the Europe Kids Want
  6. Nordic Council of MinistersNordic Countries Take a Stand for Climate-Smart Energy Solutions
  7. Mission of China to the EUChina: Work Together for a Better Globalisation
  8. Nordic Council of MinistersNordics Could Be First Carbon-Negative Region in World
  9. European Federation of Allergy and AirwaysLife Is Possible for Patients with Severe Asthma
  10. PKEE - Polish Energy AssociationCommon-Sense Approach Needed for EU Energy Reform
  11. Nordic Council of MinistersNordic Region to Lead in Developing and Rolling Out 5G Network
  12. Mission of China to the EUChina-EU Economic and Trade Relations Enjoy a Bright Future

Join EUobserver

Support quality EU news

Join us