Wednesday

21st Feb 2024

Agenda

German vote and Brexit speech This Week

  • Merkel leads Schulz by 17 points (Photo: Aleksandra Eriksson)

The walk-up to Angela Merkel's likely re-election and Theresa May's Brexit speech dominate European affairs this week.

Chancellor Merkel will be seeking a fourth term in office when Germans vote on Sunday (24 September).

Read and decide

Join EUobserver today

Get the EU news that really matters

Instant access to all articles — and 20 years of archives. 14-day free trial.

... or subscribe as a group

She is looking likelier to win with each day that passes, amid a 17-point lead on her main contender, former European Parliament president Martin Schulz, in the latest polls.

Merkel is the author of the EU's conservative economic and open migration policies, with her victory auguring more of the same.

The centre-left Schulz has campaigned on social justice issues, but this fell on deaf ears in prosperous times in Germany.

Meanwhile, Germany's spy chief had warned that Russia might try to hijack the election by leaking hacked files, the way it did in France and the US.

That has not happened, but Russian media and social media have tried to stir trouble with anti-migrant hate news.

The Russian propaganda is designed to help the far-right AfD party, which looks set to enter the Bundestag for the first time.

May in Florence

Two days before the election, on Friday, UK prime minister Theresa May will give a speech on Brexit in Florence, a city chosen for its symbolism as Europe's first trade and banking centre.

She is expected to say enough progress has been made in EU talks on priority issues - citizens' rights, the Irish border, and the Brexit bill - for negotiations to move to the next phase, on trade, in October.

But her EU counterparts might beg to differ, with the European Parliament's Brexit man, MEP Guy Verhoftsadt, travelling to Ireland on Tuesday to size up the gravity of the border problem.

May is also fighting what looks like a leadership challenge from her foreign minister, Boris Johnson, at home.

Johnson published his own Brexit manifesto in the Daily Telegraph newspaper at the weekend, repeating the debunked claim that leaving the EU would free up £350 million a week to invest in healthcare.

EU at the UN

Meanwhile, European Council president Donald Tusk and five EU commissioners, led by deputy chief Frans Timmermans, will travel to the UN's yearly general assembly, which is taking place in New York this week.

US president Donald Trump will take the spotlight in his first-ever speech to the world congress on Tuesday.

But the EU delegation will also have other issues on its mind, with Vera Joureva, the EU's justice commissioner, to meet with US officials on Monday and Tuesday to discuss implementation of Privacy Shield - a US data pact designed to protect EU citizens' rights.

"My expectation is that we will find Privacy Shield functioning, we might find some space or room for improvement," she told the Reuters news agency ahead of her trip.

Visit to Hungary

MEPs in the EU parliament's budgetary control committee will go on a three-day fact finding mission to Hungary on the same day.

The routine trip has stirred controversy after Hungarian authorities tried to block MEPs' access to an EU-funded vanity project - a miniature railway - in the home constituency of Hungary's prime minister, Viktor Orban, ahead of upcoming elections.

Energy and transport ministers will also meet in EU presidency country Estonia on Tuesday.

The informal talks are to cover the creation of a cleaner electricity market and take stock of EU infrastructure investments in the current budget period, which ends in 2020.

UK parliament passes Brexit bill

The EU Withdrawal Bill passed by 326 votes to 290 in the House of Commons, but Conservative MPs warned that controversial plans for the government to overturn EU laws by executive order would have to be scrapped.

New Red Sea mission and more Russia sanctions This WEEK

EU foreign affairs ministers launch the bloc's new Red Sea naval mission, plus hold talks on new sanctions against Russia — amid Hungarian objections — on Monday. Plus a home for the EU's new anti-money laundering authority will be picked.

Nato, defence summit, and UNRWA in focus This WEEK

Nato defence ministers will meet this week ahead of the Munich Security Conference. ECB chief Christine Lagarde will address MEPs in the committee on economic affairs and MEPs will hold a debate about the defunding of the UNRWA agency.

EU's 2040 climate target and farmers in focus This WEEK

This week, the EU commission will present a proposal to cut net emissions by 90 percent by 2040, while MEPs discuss the demands of farmers' protests across Europe. Romanian president Klaus Iohannis will also address the EU parliament in Strasbourg.

Opinion

Ukraine refugees want to return home — but how?

Fewer than one-in-ten Ukrainian refugees intend to settle permanently outside Ukraine, according to new research by the associate director of research and the director of gender and economic inclusion at the European Bank of Reconstruction and Development.

Podcast

Podcast: Navalny, Ian Bremmer and "more Europe"

EU headlines, Russia after Navalny, the Munich Security Conference and an interview with Ian Bremmer, author and founder of the Eurasia Group on his main takeaways from the conference.

Latest News

  1. Russian oligarchs failed to get off new EU blacklist
  2. Podcast: Navalny, Ian Bremmer and "more Europe"
  3. Only Palestinians paying thousands of dollars leave Gaza
  4. Ukraine refugees want to return home — but how?
  5. African leaders unveil continent-wide plan to buy medicines
  6. EU urban-rural divide not bridged by cohesion policy, report finds
  7. Impending Rafah disaster shows up politics of humanitarian aid
  8. Sweden heading into Nato, after Orbán-Kristersson deal

Stakeholders' Highlights

  1. Nordic Council of MinistersJoin the Nordic Food Systems Takeover at COP28
  2. Nordic Council of MinistersHow women and men are affected differently by climate policy
  3. Nordic Council of MinistersArtist Jessie Kleemann at Nordic pavilion during UN climate summit COP28
  4. Nordic Council of MinistersCOP28: Gathering Nordic and global experts to put food and health on the agenda
  5. Friedrich Naumann FoundationPoems of Liberty – Call for Submission “Human Rights in Inhume War”: 250€ honorary fee for selected poems
  6. World BankWorld Bank report: How to create a future where the rewards of technology benefit all levels of society?

Stakeholders' Highlights

  1. Georgia Ministry of Foreign AffairsThis autumn Europalia arts festival is all about GEORGIA!
  2. UNOPSFostering health system resilience in fragile and conflict-affected countries
  3. European Citizen's InitiativeThe European Commission launches the ‘ImagineEU’ competition for secondary school students in the EU.
  4. Nordic Council of MinistersThe Nordic Region is stepping up its efforts to reduce food waste
  5. UNOPSUNOPS begins works under EU-funded project to repair schools in Ukraine
  6. Georgia Ministry of Foreign AffairsGeorgia effectively prevents sanctions evasion against Russia – confirm EU, UK, USA

Join EUobserver

EU news that matters

Join us