Tuesday

11th Dec 2018

Spain's Podemos sees a clear path to power

  • Podemos leader Iglesias arriving at Monday's election TV debate. His party aims to replace the Socialist Party as the main left-wing force. (Photo: Podemos)

Spain’s anti-austerity leader Pablo Iglesias has started courting left-wing rivals as he manoeuvres for a serious shot at becoming prime minister after the general election on 26 June.

Opinion polls show Spaniards are likely to deliver a similarly fragmented parliament to the last election in December, with the conservative Popular Party (PP) taking the largest share of the seats but falling short of an absolute majority.

Read and decide

Join EUobserver today

Support quality EU news

Get instant access to all articles — and 18 year's of archives. 30 days free trial.

... or join as a group

  • Iglesias to Socialist leader Sanchez (r): "Our voters and yours would want to see us together". (Photo: Podemos)

Iglesias' Podemos party leads a left-wing coalition that may overtake the Socialists to grab second place, which would mean he could demand the Socialists back him to remove PP leader Mariano Rajoy from power.

At a debate between the leaders of the four largest political parties on Monday night (13 June), Iglesias moderated attacks on Socialist leader Pedro Sanchez, focusing fire on Rajoy. He repeatedly offered to govern with the Socialists after the election.

“Our voters and yours would want to see us together,” he told Sanchez.

A poll released last Thursday by the state-run Centre for Sociological Research (CIS) saw Podemos Unidos increasing their total seats to between 88 and 92, up from their current 71, while the Socialists dropped to 78-80 seats from 90.

Courting the 'grumpy smurf'

The poll put the PP top on 118 to 121 seats, down from 123 seats, still short of the 176 needed for a majority, and centrist newcomer Ciudadanos virtually stable on 38-39 seats compared with its current 40.

Podemos has shot past the Socialists in opinion polls thanks to its agreement with the smaller left-wing rival Izquierda Unida (IU) to fight the election on a single list, which could allow the two parties to reduce the effects of Spain’s electoral law that punishes smaller parties.

Iglesias had previously mocked IU, once parodying it as a “grumpy smurf”, but he strategically paired up with the party after some opinion polls suggested his support was slipping. IU leader Alberto Garzon is popular after being seen to be flexible in negotiations to try to form a government.

During Monday's debate, Sanchez shook his head and laughed sarcastically at Iglesias’ repeated offer to form a coalition after 26 June.

Podemos voted in March alongside the PP against Sanchez’s attempt to become prime minister. Sanchez said his programme at the time, which was backed by Ciudadanos, included measures to help families in poverty, give better grants to students and increase workers’ collective bargaining power.

“The extremes blocked change,” said Sanchez. Iglesias replied: “You’ve got the wrong adversary. The adversary is Rajoy.”

The softer tone of the pony-tailed politics lecturer contrasted with an impassioned attack in the parliament in March when he criticised former Socialist prime minister Felipe Gonzalez for the state-sponsored death squads that targeted Basque separatists ETA in the 1980s.

No 'grand coalition'

In recent interviews, he has described himself as a Social Democrat, having once described himself as a Communist, and pointed out he was named after the man who founded the Spanish Socialist Party in 1879.

Some members of the Socialists remain wary of Podemos, fearing its leadership supports radical economic policies and that they could replace their party as the main left-wing choice the way upstart Syriza replaced the main Socialists in Greece.

Many Socialists are particularly opposed to the Podemos ambition to grant pro-independence supporters in Catalonia a referendum on whether the north-eastern region should break with the rest of Spain. The PSOE argues that all Spaniards should be allowed a vote on changes to the country’s territory and favours a constitutional reform to make the country’s system more federal.

The Popular Party is hoping the distrust of some Socialists for Podemos could force the party to abstain to allow the conservatives to govern. But on Monday, Sanchez again ruled out joining a “grand coalition”, led by Rajoy, whose party is under fire as judicial investigations continue into allegations the party ran slushfunds.

However, Sanchez avoided directly answering the question of whether he would accept Iglesias as prime minister if Podemos comes second.

Centrists look right

Centrist Ciudadanos, which allied with the Socialists during the last six months, could be a potential ally to the conservatives.

The party's leader Albert Rivera said he would not join a government involving Podemos and he opened the door for a pact with the conservatives with a fresh leader. To gain the role of kingmaker, Ciudadanos will need to buck the opinion polls.

“There are people who are very able in your party. There are people who are clean in your party,” Rivera told Rajoy. “The only thing I’m asking you… is that you reflect on that. Mr Iglesias’ populism is only going to keep growing if we don’t regenerate politics.”

Spanish election goes Venezuelan

The crisis in Venezuela has become central to the June election campaign, with radical-left Podemos being accused of being too close to the Chavist government.

Spain set for new election in June

Spain's politicians have failed to agree a coalition in time for a 2 May deadline, but new polls set for June are unlikely to end the political impasse.

Deja vu as jaded Spanish voters head to polls

The radical left Podemos party could come top in Sunday's elections. But few expect that to end the political stalemate, while the impact of Brexit on people's voting is impossible to predict.

Agenda

UK decision time This WEEK

First EU reaction to UK decision expected on Friday morning. Spain to hold elections on Sunday that could bring maverick left-wingers Podemos to power.

News in Brief

  1. Brexit vote by Jan 21, PM's office says
  2. Juncker: 'No room' to renegotiate Brexit deal
  3. Seven EU states fail to sign UN global pact on migration
  4. EU scheme to bypass US Iran sanctions in place by new year
  5. ECB set to end quantitative easing
  6. Macron raises minimum wage to please 'Yellow Vest' protesters
  7. Lead MEP on Morocco resigns position on trade file
  8. EU gives green light to new human rights sanctions

Stakeholders' Highlights

  1. International Partnership For Human RightsKyrgyz authorities have to immediately release human rights defender Azimjon Askarov
  2. Nordic Council of MinistersSeminar on disability and user involvement
  3. Nordic Council of MinistersInternational appetite for Nordic food policies
  4. Nordic Council of MinistersNew Nordic Innovation House in Hong Kong
  5. Nordic Council of MinistersNordic Region has chance to become world leader when it comes to start-ups
  6. Nordic Council of MinistersTheresa May: “We will not be turning our backs on the Nordic region”
  7. International Partnership for Human RightsOpen letter to Emmanuel Macron ahead of Uzbek president's visit
  8. International Partnership for Human RightsRaising key human rights concerns during visit of Turkmenistan's foreign minister
  9. Nordic Council of MinistersState of the Nordic Region presented in Brussels
  10. Nordic Council of MinistersThe vital bioeconomy. New issue of “Sustainable Growth the Nordic Way” out now
  11. Nordic Council of MinistersThe Nordic gender effect goes international
  12. Nordic Council of MinistersPaula Lehtomaki from Finland elected as the Council's first female Secretary General

Latest News

  1. EU rules out Brexit renegotiation, but could help May
  2. Lead MEP on Morocco resigns as her report passes
  3. UN text not yet ready for ministers, says EU climate czar
  4. Russian propaganda prompts alarm in Ukraine and France
  5. May on whistle-stop EU tour to seek new backstop pledges
  6. How EU agriculture policy endangers migrants' lives
  7. EU aviation agreement with Morocco in legal hot water
  8. Anti-semitism 'disturbingly normalised' in Europe

Stakeholders' Highlights

  1. Nordic Council of MinistersNordic design sets the stage at COP24, running a competition for sustainable chairs
  2. Counter BalanceIn Kenya, a motorway funded by the European Investment Bank runs over roadside dwellers
  3. ACCACompany Law Package: Making the Best of Digital and Cross Border Mobility,
  4. International Partnership for Human RightsCivil Society Worried About Shortcomings in EU-Kyrgyzstan Human Rights Dialogue
  5. UNESDAThe European Soft Drinks Industry Supports over 1.7 Million Jobs
  6. Mission of China to the EUJointly Building Belt and Road Initiative Leads to a Better Future for All
  7. International Partnership for Human RightsCivil society asks PACE to appoint Rapporteur to probe issue of political prisoners in Azerbaijan
  8. ACCASocial Mobility – How Can We Increase Opportunities Through Training and Education?
  9. Nordic Council of MinistersEnergy Solutions for a Greener Tomorrow
  10. UNICEFWhat Kind of Europe Do Children Want? Unicef & Eurochild Launch Survey on the Europe Kids Want
  11. Nordic Council of MinistersNordic Countries Take a Stand for Climate-Smart Energy Solutions
  12. Mission of China to the EUChina: Work Together for a Better Globalisation

Join EUobserver

Support quality EU news

Join us