Sunday

17th Oct 2021

German presidency tries to end EU's rule-of-law battle

  • Polish prime minister Mateusz Morawiecki (l), Hungarian premier Viktor Orban and Belgian PM Sophie Wilmes, at a previous summit meeting (Photo: Council of the European Union)

The German EU presidency on Monday (28 September) put forward a compromise draft proposal on linking EU funds to respect for the rule of law, in an effort to break the ongoing institutional deadlock on the issue.

The presidency and the European Parliament have been at an impasse on both the EU budget and the Covid-19 recovery package, with the rule-of-law conditionality (or perceived lack of it) becoming the most politically-controversial issue in negotiations.

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But it is not only a debate with the parliament: member states have been at odds on what EU leaders actually agreed as an outline for such a conditionality at their July summit - and the German compromise seems to divide EU countries along the same lines.

Hungary and Poland have both pushed back against a mechanism that tightly links EU funds to respect for the rule of law, while countries such as Denmark, Finland, the Netherlands, and Sweden have been arguing for a strong tool.

Hungary and Poland, the two countries which are currently under rule-of-law probes, have said they wanted to see a 'toothless' rule of law mechanism agreed, before giving the green light to the recovery package.

Member states that are in need of a swift economic stimulus due to the pandemic, such as Italy and Greece, are now getting nervous.

Germany and France - the architects of the recovery fund - are battling on.

French EU affairs minister Clement Beaune said last week he was planning to visit several countries, including the Netherlands, to overcome political obstacles to approval of the package, while the German EU presidency put pressure on the parliament to speed up talks.

All in the small print

The draft presidency rule-of-law proposal, obtained by EUobserver and other news organisations, tunes the original 2018 EU Commission proposal towards those who reject a strong mechanism.

The draft has replaced the original broad scope of "generalised deficiencies" in the rule of law (or the risk of them) on the EU's financial interests, to trigger the process.

Instead, the draft talks about "breaches of the principles of the rule of law" and no longer considers risk as a sufficient trigger. It rather talks of "the effects of that breaches on the respective union funds" when considering the proportionate measures to be taken.

This compromise proposal suggests that a qualified majority of member states will decide on any measures within a month after the commission proposes taking action.

The original commission plan argued for reversed qualified majority, so that a majority of member states would be needed to overturn the commission's decision.

The proposal also outlines an "emergency brake".

In case the member state under scrutiny thinks the procedure is partisan and not evidence-based, it can request the European Council president to take up the issue at the next summit of EU leaders. But the process should not exceed three months following the commission's proposal.

EU ambassadors will discuss the proposal on Wednesday.

'Delicate compromise'

The draft needs to be supported by a qualified majority of member states to become an official council position after which it needs to be agreed with the parliament.

In theory, that means that the German EU presidency could go ahead without the approval of Warsaw and Budapest - but that is politically very risky.

One diplomat from a country that wants a strong mechanism said the proposal "still seems to be quite some way off compared to our understanding of the July compromise on the rule of law".

But another official who works closely on the matter said that "what didn't find the support of the heads of state government at that time, will certainly not find it now," and that "it is important that all sides stick to the delicate compromise reached" at the July EU summit.

The official said the draft gives a legal form to the "hard-won and delicate European compromise", and will - for the first time in EU history - create a mechanism linking EU funds to the rule of law.

EU countries stuck on rule of law-budget link

Divisions among EU governments remain between those who want to suspend EU funds if rule of law is not respected, and those who want to narrow down conditionality.

EU leaders face major clash on rule of law budget link

One major issue dividing member states in the ongoing budget negotiations is inserting a direct link between EU subsidies and the rule of law. While the biggest battle will be over figures, the rule of law conditionality also creates tension.

Hungary claims EU 'witch-hunt' over rule of law hearing

Hungary was quizzed by EU ministers over its domestic crackdown on media, judges, academia and NGOs. Hungary's minister responded by saying the country had defended "the European way of life" for centuries, and it should be respected.

Germany asks capitals to give a little in EU budget impasse

European Parliament negotiators are demanding €39bn in new funding for EU programmes such as Horizon research and Erasmus, in talks with the German EU presidency on the budget. Meanwhile, rule-of-law enforcement negotiations have only just begun.

Deal in reach on linking EU funds to rule of law

Much still depends on if the German EU presidency is willing to sign up to a strict time limit for member states to decide on possible sanctions in the new rule-of-law conditionality.

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